On todays Politics Podcast, the crew discusses God, COVID-19, and the midterms. Galen Druke discusses that question with pollster Kristen Soltis Anderson and writers Ramesh Ponnuru and Henry Olsen, who have all spent their careers in Republican politics and conservative thought. 71 Episodes Share Follow Seasons About 38 minutes | Feb 16, 2023 The Hero Who Rode His Segway Off a Cliff Steve Jobs called It "the most amazing piece of technology since the PC." According to Jeff Bezos It was not only "revolutionary," but infinitely commercial. Americans' political views oftentimes don't align neatly with a single party, but instead draw on both conservative and liberal positions. It's tempting to use the special election to gauge the national political environment, but the crew explains why one election alone isn't a reliable indicator. FiveThirtyEight's Amelia Thomson-DeVeaux and Nathaniel Rakich discuss the impact of the COVID-19 pandemic on Tuesday night's primary elections.Website: http:. They also consider why Republican senators' votes on convicting former President Donald Trump broke down the way they did. On Thursday, the Supreme Court wrapped up its first term with a 6-3 conservative majority on the bench. The U.S. House Districts To Watch In 2022: 10/17/22 The team debates if Americans. In the wake of the January 6th attack on the Capitol, academics and journalists have increasingly taken the possibility of future political violence in America seriously. Tia Mitchell, of the Atlanta Journal Constitution, joins the podcast to discuss what to expect from former President Trump's second impeachment trial. Nate Cohn, the chief political analyst at The New York Times, joins the crew to discuss the results of the latest Times/Siena College midterm polling. He is now facing a primary from Congressman Jody Hice, whom Trump has endorsed, in his 2022 re-election bid. The crew discusses potential sticking points in the Democrats' infrastructure plan and debates whether it should be considered bipartisan if a sizable portion of Republican voters support it, but Republican lawmakers do not. The crew discusses which indicators are worth watching to get a sense for how the parties will perform in the 2022 elections. The crew breaks down a poll that asked Americans to identify from good to evil and lawful to chaotic on the Dungeons and Dragons alignment chart. Galen speaks with reporter Kaleigh Rogers about how candidates who denied the legitimacy of the 2020 election did in the midterms and what the future of election denialism looks like. Atlantic writer Emma Green joins to talk about her recent article, "The Liberals Who Can't Quit Lockdown.". Then, Equis Research co-founder Carlos Odio joins the pod to break down a new poll that asked Latino Americans which party they are favoring in the midterm elections. January 23, 2023 Examined What comes next after Texas school shooting? Americans are spending more and more time alone, and more than a third reported experiencing serious loneliness" in 2021. As of this writing, we still dont know which party will control the House or Senate, and we may not know come the morning. david senak now. [00:00:19] security jobs paying $30 an hour; fivethirtyeight podcast transcripts They also assess whether narratives from the 2021 gubernatorial election in Virginia hold up in light of new data, and debate the hottest legislative topic in Washington: permanent Daylight Saving Time. Nate Silver and Galen Druke discuss why live caller surveys are no longer the gold standard in polling and what it means for the future of the industry. They also consider how Rep. George Santoss scandals will affect his tenure in Congress and whether he would have been elected at all if his fabricated biography had received more scrutiny during the campaign. It was his first big national speech since the midterms and a preview of his likely 2024 reelection bid. They also analyze a new poll from the University of New Hampshire that shows the states likely GOP primary voters favoring Florida Gov. It was the biggest shift of any demographic group between the two presidential elections and led to some speculation about a possible realignment. Feb. 25, 2021. info. The crew discusses why the Republican National Committee chose to censure Representatives Cheney and Kinzinger and how different parts of the party view the violent events of January 6th, 2021. The Rules of the Game podcast discusses and compares democratic institutions from around the world. They also talk about how the California recall election is shaping up after a recent poll showed increased support for recalling current Governor Gavin Newsom. They also scrutinize a new survey that suggests most Americans think "The West Wing" and other political TV shows are reflective of how politics works. They also reflect on how British and American politics changed during the period when "Brexit" and "Trump" dominated the two countries news cycles and consider their lasting impact. Galen speaks with James Acton, the co-director of the Nuclear Policy Program at the Carnegie Endowment for International Peace, about how leaders and experts weigh the risks of a nuclear conflict. Democrat and former state Rep. Mary Peltola won Alaska's special congressional election on Wednesday, defeating Republicans Sarah Palin and Nick Begich III. Politics Podcast: Why The Federal Reserve's Power Is 'Limitless', Politics Podcast: How The War In Ukraine Could Go Nuclear, Politics Podcast: Some Republicans Are Souring On Aid To Ukraine. If you don't already have iTunes, you can download it here. They also have a good or bad use of polling on the topic of death and consider whether a recent Facebook hearing will lead to new regulations for the monolithic technology company. They also rank the Senate races that will be most important in determining which party controls the Senate next year. In this installment, the crew plays a game of midterm trivia and analyzes the press coverage surrounding the latest decline in life expectancy. The crew recaps that race and other notable results from the June 14 primaries. In Kim Barker's memory, the city of Laramie . Mona Chalabi of FiveThirtyEight.com joins NPR's Rachel Martin for a look at who those people are. Galen and Nate discuss the reasons for Republicans' improvement in the forecast. Galen speaks with Atlanta Journal Constitution reporters Tia Mitchell and Greg Bluestein about how the Georgia senate runoff is looking in the final stretch. Member of the White House Council of Economic Advisers, Heather Boushey, joins the podcast to discuss what is in the American Rescue Plan and why. In this late-night installment of the FiveThirtyEight Politics podcast, Nate Silver and Galen Druke put their Model Talk hats on and discuss the initial results from the 2022 midterms. They also preview next week's mayoral election in Chicago and ask whether a new poll of Arizona's 2024 Senate race is actually telling us anything useful. We look at two of this weeks biggest stories -- the killing of Daunte Wright in Minnesota and the U.S. Food and Drug Administrations decision to pause the use of the Johnson and Johnson covid-19 vaccine. The crew runs down a list of theories in a game of Buy, Sell, or Hold to discuss what evidence, if any, supports some of these arguments. What do we know about the novel coronavirus, and what do we know we don't know? Tickets to the FiveThirtyEight Politics podcast live show in Washington, DC on October 25th can be found here. They also debate the usefulness of new polling on Americans superhero preferences by partisanship and preview the upcoming Jan. 6 hearings. Last week, we began to explore the most high-profile of those mayoral contests -- the New York City Democratic primary. So, the usual. They also debate whether phone or online polling is a better tool for gauging Americans' views on sensitive topics like the death penalty, and they preview a forthcoming report on how FiveThirtyEight's forecast models did in 2020. A lack of those relationships can actually have an impact on political behavior and interest in extreme ideologies. The team looks at the popularity of the Democrats' COVID relief plan and how both Democrats and Republicans are thinking about its provisions. Earlier this month, the United Nations' Intergovernmental Panel of Climate Change (IPCC) released the first part of its Sixth Assessment Report on the state of climate change globally. The crew discusses the politically thorny issue of mental acuity in an increasingly elderly U.S. government, and what Americans think about age limits for public office. The crew plays an Independence Day-inspired statistics game and discusses how the most recent Jan. 6 hearing could affect how Americans view former President Donald Trump. They also ask whether a sentiment analysis suggesting that the press is more negative on Biden than it was on President Trump is a "good or bad use of data.". In the main event, former light Democratic representative from California Adam Schiff discusses why he thinks American democracy is in trouble, which he lays out in his new book "Midnight In Washington: How We Almost Lost Our Democracy And Still Could.". Economics Professor at George Washington University, Tara Sinclair, joins to explain what is going on with the economy and the potential consequences of a spike in prices. MANAGER'S SALARY. Subscribe and listen Also available wherever you listen to podcasts Google Stitcher iHeartRadio Castbox TuneIn 266, the . The crew asks whether comparisons to former President Donald Trump's own classified document scandal are apt. Their recent data-driven post-mortem of the Latino vote in 2020 looks at which voters were likeliest to favor Trump and offers some hypotheses as to why. American politics has changed a lot in the twenty years since the 9/11 terrorist attacks. The crew talks about why President Biden's approval is underwater, what the consequences are for Democrats and what they can do about it. In early January of 2020, then-President Trump encouraged Raffensperger to help overturn the election results in Georgia. They also break down how candidate misconduct is generally factored into the FiveThirtyEight model. Institutions are the rules of the game of our societies that direct our everyday lives in fundamental ways. robert kraft granddaughter. The team assesses New York Governor Andrew Cuomo's political future after a report from the New York Attorney General concluded that he sexually harassed 11 women. They also discuss the conditions that would have to be present in order for a third party to actually be viable in the American political system. Politics Podcast: Baby Boomers' Strength Was In Their Numbers. They also review Democrats agenda for the current lame duck session in Congress and hold their first post-midterm 2024 Democratic primary draft. Lastly, they ask whether a recent survey of Americans attitudes about secession is a good or bad use of polling. What to do about George Santos | FiveThirtyEight Politics Podcast In Part 2 of this podcast, the crew asks why House Speaker Kevin McCarthy has declined to call Rep. George Santos to resign and considers a poll showing that 60% of his district's voters want him to. FiveThirtyEight Politics 3 days ago Biden's Second State Of The Union Was His First Campaign Speech President Biden delivered his second State of the Union address on Tuesday to a newly divided. But some Republicans are still jockeying for position to be the next leader of the party, the most prominent of which may be Florida Governor Ron DeSantis. Five Thirty-Eight sometimes referred to as 538, focuses on opinion poll analysis, politics, economics, and sports blogging. FiveThirtyEight Politics 199 Episodes Share Follow Episodes About 61 minutes | Feb 27, 2023 How The War In Ukraine Could Go Nuclear To mark a year since Russia's full-scale invasion of Ukraine, Galen Druke brings back two experts who first joined the podcast when the war began. The full series is available now on Apple Podcasts (https://apple.co/2QQw8e9), Spotify (https://spoti.fi/3ukYgoq), or wherever you listen by searching "In Plain Sight: Lady Bird Johnson." The Gabfest, featuring Emily Bazelon, John Dickerson, and David Plotz, is the kind of informal and irreverent discussion Washington journalists have The crew discusses what legal debates are currently playing out, what the decision could mean for the future of Roe v. Wade, and where Americans stand on abortion restrictions in general. FT Podcasts FT Weekend podcast 31 min listen Best of: Chef Mashama Bailey on reclaiming African-American food The award-winning chef explains her creative process 2 hours ago FT News Briefing. But that doesnt stop us from talking about what we do know: that Republicans didnt make major gains in the Senate, and that the polls were pretty good this cycle. Then the crew explains why they consider four competitive U.S. House districts to be bellwether elections for which party will win control of the House. 00:14:18 - Federal health agencies asked states to pause in their use of the Johnson & Johnson vaccine while U.S. officials investigate reports of an extre Tickets to the FiveThirtyEight Politics podcast live show in Washington, DC on October 25th can be found here. Our tool analyzes your audio using Google voice recognition. The episode tracks the 14 days from the murder of the president to when the Johnsons move into the White House, days filled with tragic ceremony and heartfelt moments of solidarity between Jackie Kennedy and Lady Bird. The conventional wisdom is that if former President Trump wants the Republican presidential nomination in 2024, it's his. The Supreme Court is probably the most recognizable example, FiveThirtyEight Politics Podcast Feb. 21, 2023 Politics Podcast: Some Republicans Are Souring On Aid To Ukraine Feb. 16, 2023 Nikki Haley Has Tough Competition In Trump And DeSantis By Galen. The crew discusses why the number of independents has been growing and what it means for American politics. During the span of 25 years, same-sex marriage went from being an unimaginable idea to settled law. They also discuss why gas stoves became such a hot topic of debate on the internet and what the 2024 primary for U.S. Senate in California will look like. The crew discusses the role partisanship has played in Americans' assessment of risk and their behavior during the pandemic. They also check in on the upcoming Virginia governors race and discuss a FiveThirtyEight report about how Congress may have inadvertently legalized THC -- the main psychoactive compound in marijuana. The Deluxe version of our model simulates the election 40,000 times to see which party wins the House most often. They also ask whether the US is in a recession, whether Andrew Yang's third party will succeed and how the DOJ's Jan. 6th investigation is affecting former President Trump. In this installment, civil and environmental engineer Daniel Cohan joins FiveThirtyEight's Sarah Frostenson, Maggie Koerth and Galen Druke to discuss why the blackouts occurred, where responsibility lies and how politics responds to these kinds of crises. Cuomo denied the allegations, but has faced overwhelming pressure to resign from fellow Democrats, including President Joe Biden. New episodes release Tuesdays, Thursdays, and Sundays. Labor Day traditionally marks the time when general election campaigning truly ramps up summer vacation is over, TV ads flood the airways and pollsters switch their models from registered voters to likely voters. Thee also tracks the latest voting restrictions being considered by Georgia Republicans, including a proposal to end early voting on Sundays, which is when Black churches traditionally mobilize voters through "souls to the polls" events. 01:06 PM. They also mark two years since the U.S. shut down in response to the coronavirus pandemic, by using data to explore some of the ways American life has changed in that time. Listen to FiveThirtyEight Politics on Spotify. They also discuss Democratic lawmakers' varying views on how to approach Senate rules and the filibuster. American government is designed to have components that are not directly accountable to the public. The question is whether Mississippis law banning most abortions after 15 weeks of pregnancy is constitutional. In 2018, the operations were transferred from ESPN to sister property ABC News (also under parent The Walt Disney Company ). The crew breaks down notable primary races in Minnesota, Vermont and Wisconsin. 91.5 Chapel Hill 88.9 Manteo 90.9 Rocky Mount 91.1 Welcome 91.9 Fayetteville 90.5 Buxton 94.1 Lumberton 99.9 Southern Pines Tickets to the FiveThirtyEight Politics podcast live show in Washington, DC on October 25th can be found here. Nate and Galen open the mailbag and answer listeners' questions about politics, polling and anything else on their minds. The report relies on advanced climate modeling to illustrate where global warming is headed. They also discuss the recent trend in Senate candidates refusing to debate each other and why Republicans can't agree on what abortion restrictions to pass. My theme song for the "What's the Point" podcast from FiveThirtyEight, a podcast about our data age. They also explain why a dramatic shift among independent women in a recent New York Times poll shouldn't be taken at face value but also shouldn't undercut the poll. Posted by October 30, 2021 bangladesh police ranks on fivethirtyeight podcast transcripts October 30, 2021 bangladesh police ranks on fivethirtyeight podcast transcripts In this installment of the FiveThirtyEight Politics podcast, Smialek argues that over the past century, through successive crises, the Fed has accumulated the power to choose winners and losers across American markets and society on the whole. And they look at the experiences of urban Republicans and rural Democrats in a country increasingly sorted geographically and politically. Find us at ThisDayPod.com. The U.S. shot down at least three unidentified flying objects over the weekend. Today those numbers have flipped. Max Fisher, author of the new book, "The Chaos Machine: The Inside Story of How Social Media Rewired Our Minds and Our World," speaks with Galen about the impacts of social media on politics globally and in the U.S. Tickets to the FiveThirtyEight Politics podcast live show in Washington, DC on October 25th can be found here. The crew discusses the races to watch in Tuesday night's primaries in Pennsylvania, North Carolina, Idaho, Oregon and Kentucky. In his new book "Aftermath: The Last Days of the Baby Boom and the Future of Power in America," Washington Post national columnist Philip Bump argues that many of the fissures that the country is facing today politically, economically, culturally have to do with the Baby Boomers getting old. The crew previews Californias primaries, which offer unique insight into the divides within the Democratic Party. Hello and welcome to the identity politics podcast I'm deal injury work. Politics Podcast: Could Nikki Haley Actually Win The GOP Nomination? Given some of the caveats in the poll, the crew asks whether it's a good or bad use of polling. The crew discusses what high gas prices have meant for politics historically and outline the debates in Washington over how to bring those prices down. gold rush supreme second chance winners. As of Monday, all U.S. troops have withdrawn from Afghanistan following a chaotic evacuation from the country. Kyrsten Sinema's Odds Of Reelection Don't Look Great. They also look back at 2021, try to pinpoint the most consequential political events of the year and discuss how their understanding of American politics was challenged. Whereas Tester . 1 min read; Jun 05, 2022; Bagikan : parade of homes matterport . They also discuss the accuracy of opinion polling conducted in authoritarian Russia and war-torn Ukraine. If Europe, and of the shop leave us a rating or review in the Apple podcast store when you rating. Serial's new true-crime podcast, The Coldest Case in Laramie, revisits a 1985 murder. With the data from the most recent term in hand, the crew discusses how far to the right the Supreme Court has gone. The crew discusses the arguments Biden laid out and where he stands with American voters two years into his presidency. As we head into the new year and our attention begins to turn to the presidential primaries, we decided to reair our audio documentary series, The Primaries Project. 11:03 AM. Dive in and Share your insights! Tensions between the U.S. and China have grown in recent years and, in this installment, the crew looks at changing public opinion of China and how it could shape American politics. The crew discusses the races to watch in 2023. It was a fiendishly clever and massively hyped invention. We continue our conversation about challenges to democracy in America by talking with Georgia Secretary of State Brad Raffensperger. The crew asks why Queen Elizabeth II's passing has received such intense global press coverage. Hosts of the British Talking Politics podcast, David Runciman and Helen Thompson, discuss why the British public and some members of the Conservative Party have soured on Johnson in a way that Republicans never soured on President Trump, despite his numerous scandals. The crew discusses how President Bidens executive action that forgives up to $20,000 of student loan debt will impact politics and the economy. They also look at the politics of two hot button issues in the Senate and speak with Carlos Odio of Equis Research about how Latino voters are viewing the two parties in 2022. The crew discusses how much the two parties are spending on campaign ads and if it could factor into the forecasts shift. The Sporkful production team includes Dan Pashman, Emma Morgenstern, Andres O'Hara, Tracey Samuelson, and Jared O'Connell. They also consider whether abortion as an issue will motivate voters in other elections this fall and look at the primary winners in Arizona, Missouri, Michigan and Washington. They also take a look at the endorsements former President Trump has made in 2022 congressional primaries and discuss why worries about inflation can be so politically potent. They also discuss ranked choice voting and the reasons for delays in New York City's final vote count in the mayoral election. In this show, Jody Avirgan, Nicole Hemmer and Kellie Carter Jackson (and guests) take one moment, big or small, from that day in U.S. political history and explore how it might inform our present -- all in about fifteen minutes. They also look at mayoral elections, which are taking place in more than two dozen major cities, and special elections for a handful of vacant House seats. Where the hot sports takes of the week meet the numbers that prove them right or tear them down. What role do Liz Cheney-type Republicans have to play in the future of the GOP (if any)? Nate Silver and the FiveThirtyEight team cover the latest in politics, tracking the issues and game-changers every week. Technology and politics reporter Kaleigh Rogers discusses the influence of conspiracy theories on the events that led to the Jan. 6th riot, why people believe in conspiracy theories in the first place, and what it means for the future of American politics. The board of directors voted Friday to accept the resignation of David Held, effective June 1, and will then offer him the same job on . Schwartz and McMenamin: 11/29/21. Micah Cohen and Kaleigh Rogers also join to talk about why Republicans are not backing a bipartisan commission to investigate the January 6th attack on the U.S. Capitol.
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