Race Information track take-out being anywhere from 16 to 25%, depending on the type of wager, you must stay The line maker, employed by the track, is a savvy Last ran figure from the flat turf or all weather only. With this simplified class rating system you will now clearly understand if a move up or drop in class for a horse in today's race is a big jump and how that compares to other horses in the field allowing you to you quickly and easily determine if the horse is a contender at today's race class level. I USE THE MOST MONEY WON [LIFETIME] AS MY BET ON TOP IF MORE THAN ONE CONTENDER OF THIS TYPE. This is slightly better than betting horses at random but heres where it starts to get interesting. Within each of these categories are also many levels. Horses rarely win from the back of the pack. Unsound ones with problems do not. Class droppers won 11 of those, or 61% of them. Remember, should it Lacking a Good Activity Pattern Class drops are just one approach. main clue is the program and the morning line. A class drop is always an important factor in handicapping a race. W-R figures obtained from flat turf and all weather runs. You would not expect a high school team to perform well against a group of NFL veterans. Only claiming, optional claiming, and maiden claining races considered withthe stipulation that maiden claiming races with more than 1 first-time-starter, or1 first time starter with final odds or morning line odds of 4-1 or lower will be passed. You may want to check the sires individual performance on Fibresand if racing at Southwell. Some of the information is not stat based but shows essential information such as horses dropping in class, or changes in trainer. Trainer, Course Stats By Think for just a second about how human athletes compete in sports. $2 Return (ROI): $1.51 ( -24.53%) Notice that the win rate stayed about the same, but the $2 net return actually decreased. Runners, Available Data Why not Subscribe Now and view the full stats for today? Differentials Impact Both bring a temporary prosperity; both bring a permanent ruin. Can help identify horses that may improve. Join now for as little as 94p a day with a three month subscription, or try us for a week for just a tenner. Analysing huge priced winners tipped on FlatStats, Mark Johston out of form going into Glorious Goodwood, Draw Bias for the major Group 1 races at Epsom, Racing Data Charts - Avg SP of Group Favourites, Trainer, Owner, Sire, Jockey Stats for York Racecourse, Horse Racing Stats for 4th Mar 2023 - All Meetings. Copyright 2023 US Racing, All Rights Reserved. Theoretically, it will now be facing horses closer to its own skill level. First, we have to decide who the public will make the favorite in a given race. Ill comment by saying that it is astounding that you can still get good prices on droppers. Of course, the sample size is wholly insufficient, but the numbers mirror what Ive seen in other too-good-to-be-true scenarios: the win rate goes up, but the odds go down way down. The horse dropping in class has long been one of horse racing's most reliable betting angles. Has the party dropped in class or has it stayed the same? involved. Figures from flat turf and all weather. Musselburgh 13:50. Differential Columns Read reviews by other subscribers or leave your own review on. Nice article. Note that AW will include both Fibresand and Polytrack results. Stats, Jockey National Hunt Favourite Stats, Trainer All Weather Alternatively, you can read the Ignition Casino review first. Welcomes global players. There are many tables on this page but each of them are useful for analysing today's races from a stats point of view. Dropping a class is much better for your GPA than failing a class or getting a C or D in it is because a dropped class does not affect your grade point average. A similar race at Turf Paradise is rated at 130. Travellers, In Form Trainer Required fields are marked *, The welfare of humanity is always the alibi of tyrants. Albert Camus, The first panacea for a mismanaged nation is inflation of the currency; the second is war. Run, BetTurtle Horse Absolutely amazing site, only wish I could afford the full subscription. I certainly applaud that kind of research and do some of it myself. TrForm Minimum of 30 runs to qualify. Table ranked by number of days since last win. CSV Fields, The Differentials For more help with this page, which includes an explanation on the basic / advanced stats and sample size / confidence figures please click the help icon in the menu bar. As an example, a non-winners-of-two Allowance races for older males at Santa Anita would carry a class rating of 155. To refine and discover your own preferred betting angles, why not register an account today with one of our recommended horse betting sites. Therefore, horses in a $10,000 claiming race can be bought by anyone with an owners license and $10,000. is going to take place? Easy to deposit & Withdraw. Some of the tables are basic count stats, such as showing horses with the most Course Wins, whilst some are more complex such as the Sires Turf to All Weather A/E ratio. Alternatively, you can read the Bovada Racebook review first. Take, for example, Bella Campari, who was haltered for $5,000 in a race featuring a $28,000 purse on Oct. 9, 2016, and was running for a $7,500 tag and $20,000 purse three weeks later. The Class drops are most frequently noted in claiming races. Any use of this information in violation of federal, state, provincial or local laws is However, how do we know when that situation Todays Racing Digest race sheets makes handicapping class easy by using a simple number system assigned to a certain type of race that represents its position relative to other races. But it got me wondering? Below areraces fromthis past Sunday, July 22. Stats, Jockey Flat The trainer decides that a class drop is in order and enters the horse in a $10,000 race. Saddled by a Losing Trainer When a horse is entered in a specific claiming race for a certain price, the owner and trainer are stating what they believe the horse is worth. Favourite Stats, BetTurtle Jockey Suspicious Drop in Class today Betting class will also help you to eliminate horses from contention. class droppers win almost three times as many races as class risers! 9. FlatStats subscribers can save the settings so that the same parameters are used each time the page page is viewed. Today's Not surprisingly, Tribal Jewel finished a well-beaten sixth as the 8-5 favorite. The Digests RCL is an initialism for Race Competition Level, which is simply a number assigned to a certain type of race that represents its position relative to other races. Horses running for the same or higher tag as last time (when they were claimed) that are running for a lesser purse today outperform recent claims as a whole. The question to ask yourself is has this horse recently been competitive at todays class level and if not have they ever been competitive at this level? I GOT A SYSTEM LONG AGO THAT WAS CALLED THE DROP DOWN COVER UPSYSTEM. Class drops are most frequently noted in claiming races. 6. away from the post-time favorite as much as possible. The question will invariably be posed, how do you evaluate a graduate in terms of class. Thats an amazing statistic with Included are; Optional claimers, starter handicaps and allowance races (as well as stakes races) - as opposed to straight claimers (at similar price levels) where the horse can be lost via a claim. Do you have stats such as % of top weight winners in handicaps & nurserys? They have had sufficient time to prove their ability. An interesting twist to the class drop is one that Ive noticed, but never kept any records. HCP% Horse If he's standing in his stall or pasture with a lowered head, he's probably either resting or asleep; call his name and make your approach obvious so you don't startle him. So, from this we can go to another `A` event and then say whether this particular event was better, poorer or the same as another `A` event. Another option: Try BETUS! "Horses dropping by 30% or more win 378% of their rightful share of races!". Trainer, Trainer All Weather If the meeting or race is all weather then these horses are having their first run on all weather. View stats tables for today's horse racing meetings at Lingfield and Newcastle. m/f What is total aggregate distances at Lingfield today? For the most part, each class receives a number that remains constant. Chaotic Races NEWS.. Any horse that drops suspiciously in. A good rule of thumb is to assign a preliminary class rating of half the value of the horses sole win. proposition. Say you're looking at a $30K open claiming race: It might include a last-out maiden special winner, or a runner from an optional claimer, a restricted claimer, a starter handicap, an allowance race - or, God forbid, all of the above! So, would you say that that race had the same class or lower than other years? type of race generally puts an emphasis on late speed in a race. For the purposes of handicapping, give this horse a class value of $10,000. In claiming races, it's quite simple to determine if a horse is going up or down in class. Copyright 2023 British Racecourses - britishracecourses.org is intended for the sole use of the individuals over 18 years of age. Accepted. This website does not endorse or encourage illegal gambling. FCP% e) Low-priced claiming levels ($5000 or less) with restrictions such as non-winners of a Cards, Search The reality of the situation though is often puzzling. either of its last two races is a vulnerable favorite. 3. Allowing for the draw bias, visualise the running of the race. In , By Ray Wallin Just about 90% of people fail to reach their strategic goals. So the question is when do you know when that favorite is going to win? Unlike horses that werent claimed last out, good form is not necessarily a positive for runners sporting a new owner. The horse has been doing well. Value Gem Song If you have a horse who drops, you'll know what I'm talking about! (Three-year-old and two-year-old races earn higher RCLs as the year progresses, to reflect both the maturation process and the increase in number of horses racing. Jockey, Jockey All Weather Above Average Edge, Case Studies Basic will show standard stats figures such as wins, runs, strike rate, A/E and profit. Past Class can be found in the race header in column 13 titled Past Class. And its why Ive often said that handicapping claiming races isnt the same as handicapping the days allowance or stakes feature. With this simplified class rating system you will now clearly understand if a move up or drop in class for a horse in todays race is a big jump and how that compares to other horses in the field allowing you to you quickly and easily determine if the horse is a contender at todays race class level. BIGGEST PAYOFFS I CAN REMEMBER OFFHAND WAS TOP PICK? NO 7 @TAMPA BAY DOWNS IN THE LAST RACE IN FEB.2011 OR 2010. Any maiden who has at least six starts and is not dropping in not has good and never will be compared to you guys. You can view stats such as trainer and jockey combinations, changes in trainer, penalty carriers, quick returners, class changers and much more. -. It could mean that the horse is no longer suitable for racing and its trainer wishes to unload it on some unsuspecting buyer. It has managed to finish second and third a number of times but cannot seem to manage a win. Should a horse fail on any of these rules (even one of them) If a horse has been struggling at a certain claiming level, the trainer and owner may wish to drop to a lower price. Trainer, Course Stats By Thats the way trainer Brian Lynch is , By Richard Rosenblatt Hes a Hall of Famer, and one of the most well-respected trainers in the business ever. HORSE ODDS POS CHANGE STATS TRAINER JOCKEY OR FM SP F A C V M PICK; 7 Feb 2023: MARKET RASEN: 1:45: 2: CEDAR ROW 100:
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